Growth differentiation factor 15 and early prognosis after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

BACKGROUND: Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) is an inflammatory cytokine released in response to tissue injury. It has prognostic value in cardiovascular diseases and other acute and chronic conditions. Here, we explored the value of GDF-15 as an early predictor of neurologic outcome after an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). METHODS: Prospective registry study of patients in coma after an OHCA, admitted in the intensive cardiac care unit from a single university center. Serum levels of GDF-15 were measured on admission. Neurologic status was evaluated according to the cerebral performance category (CPC) scale. The relationship between GDF-15 levels and poor neurologic outcome at 6 months was analyzed. RESULTS: Among 62 patients included, 32 (51.6%) presented poor outcome (CPC 3-5). Patients with CPC 3-5 exhibited significantly higher GDF-15 levels (median, 17.1 [IQR, 11.1-20.4] ng/mL) compared to those with CPC 1-2 (7.6 [IQR, 4.1-13.1] ng/mL; p = 0.004). Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that age (OR, 1.09; 95% CI 1.01-1.17; p = 0.020), home setting arrest (OR, 8.07; 95% CI 1.61-40.42; p = 0.011), no bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (OR, 7.91; 95% CI 1.84-34.01; p = 0.005), and GDF-15 levels (OR, 3.74; 95% CI 1.32-10.60; p = 0.013) were independent predictors of poor outcome. The addition of GDF-15 in a dichotomous manner (≥ 10.8 vs. < 10.8 ng/mL) to the resulting clinical model improved discrimination; it increased the area under the curve from 0.867 to 0.917, and the associated continuous net reclassification improvement was 0.90 (95% CI 0.48-1.44), which allowed reclassification of 37.1% of patients. CONCLUSIONS: After an OHCA, increased GDF-15 levels were an independent, early predictor of poor neurologic outcome. Furthermore, when added to the most common clinical factors, GDF-15 improved discrimination and allowed patient reclassification.

Acute-phase dynamics and prognostic value of growth differentiation factor-15 in ST-elevation myocardial infarction.

Background Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is prognostic in first-generation radioimmunoassays. We examined GDF-15 temporal dynamics in STEMI and its predictive value using a first fully automated GDF-15 electrochemiluminescence assay. Methods In this prospective study, circulating GDF-15 concentration was measured at admission (0 h), 12 h and 24 h in 1026 consecutive STEMI patients treated between February 2011 and May 2016 with primary percutaneous coronary intervention. GDF-15 dynamics (0 h, 12 h, 24 h) and predictive value (30 days and 3 years) were examined. Results Median GDF-15 concentration was 1443 pg/mL at 0 h, 1731 pg/mL at 12 h and 1510 pg/mL at 24 h (p<0.001). During follow-up, 94 patients died (9.2%) and 154 (15.0%) were hospitalized. GDF-15 was a strong predictor of 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.76, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33-2.34 at 0 h; HR 2.99 [95% CI, 2.18-4.09] at 12 h, and HR 1.97 [95% CI, 1.47-2.63] at 24 h) in multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. GDF-15 improved discrimination and reclassification of a clinical risk model. GDF-15 was also associated with 3-year mortality (HR 1.31 [95% CI, 1.04-1.65] at 0 h, HR 1.42 [95% CI, 1.10-1.84] at 12 h, and HR 1.51 [95% CI, 1.16-1.96] at 24 h) and 3-year composite of mortality and cardiovascular hospitalization (HR 1.17 [95% CI, 1.01-1.37] at 0 h, HR 1.20 [95% CI, 1.02-1.42] at 12 h, and HR 1.27 [95% CI, 1.08-1.50] at 24 h). Conclusions GDF-15 peaked at 12 h and remained elevated at 24 h in STEMI. GDF-15 measurement during the first 24 h in STEMI is valuable for predicting especially short- but also long-term outcomes, and may be a useful addition to risk stratification.

Prognostic value of the Stanniocalcin-2/PAPP-A/IGFBP-4 axis in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic value of the Stanniocalcin-2/PAPP-A/IGFBP-4 axis in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). METHODS: Observational cohort study performed in 1085 consecutive STEMI patients treated with early reperfusion between February 2011 and August 2014. Stanniocalcin-2, PAPP-A, and IGFBP-4 were measured using state-of-the art immunoassays. The primary outcome was the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and readmission due to heart failure (HF). RESULTS: Median follow-up was 3.3 years (IQR 1.0-3.7), during which 176 patients (16.2%) presented a composite endpoint. Multivariable cox regression analysis revealed that Stanniocalcin-2 (HR 2.06; 95% CI 1.13-3.75; p = 0.018), IGFBP-4 (HR 1.73; 95% CI 1.14-2.64; p = 0.010), Killip-Kimball class III-IV (HR 1.40; 95% CI 1.13-1.74; p = 0.002), NT-ProBNP (HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.07-1.37; p = 0.002), age (HR 1.06; 95% CI 1.04-1.08; p < 0.001) and left ventricular ejection fraction (HR 0.97; 95% CI 0.95-0.98; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of the composite endpoint. A model containing Stanniocalcin-2 and IGFBP-4 on top of clinical variables significantly improved C-index discrimination (p = 0.036). Stanniocalcin-2 was also identified as independent predictor of all-cause mortality (HR 2.23; 95% CI 1.16-4.29; p = 0.017) and readmission due to HF (HR 3.42; 95% CI 1.22-9.60; p = 0.020). CONCLUSIONS: In STEMI patients, Stanniocalcin-2 and IGFBP-4 emerged as independent predictors of all-cause death and readmission due to HF. The Stanniocalcin-2/PAPP-A/IGFBP-4 axis exhibits a significant role in STEMI risk stratification.